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NATIONAL LABOUR MARKET POLICIESInforMISEP Reports
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| Total flows into and out | Flows between dependent employment | |||||||||
| of dependent employment (a) | and self-employment (b) | |||||||||
| Flow | Flow | Sum | Difference | Flow | Flow | Sum | Difference | Inflow (b) | Outflow (b) | |
| into | out of | (1+2) | (1-2) | into | out of | (5+6) | (5+6) | as a % of | as a % of | |
| dependent | dependent | dependent | dependent | inflow (a) | outflow (a) | |||||
| employment | employment | employment | employment | (col. 5 / | (col. 6 / | |||||
| col. 1 × 100) | col. 2 × 100) | |||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| 1992 | ||||||||||
| B | 5,3 | 5,9 | 11,2 | -0,6 | 0,2 | 0,5 | 0,7 | -0,3 | 4,3 | 8,5 |
| D | 7,2 | 9,5 | 16,7 | -2,3 | 0,6 | 1,0 | 1,6 | -0,4 | 8,3 | 10,0 |
| E | 15,7 | 14,2 | 29,9 | 1,5 | 0,6 | 1,0 | 1,5 | -0,4 | 3,6 | 6,7 |
| F | 9,9 | 10,1 | 20,0 | -0,2 | 0,6 | 0,8 | 1,4 | -0,2 | 5,6 | 8,0 |
| G | 8,3 | 10,0 | 18,3 | -1,7 | 0,8 | 1,2 | 2,0 | -0,5 | 9,5 | 12,3 |
| IRL | 10,3 | 9,9 | 20,2 | 0,4 | 0,5 | 0,5 | 1,0 | 0,0 | 5,0 | 5,4 |
| I | 12,3 | 10,5 | 22,7 | 1,8 | 1,7 | 1,7 | 3,4 | 0,1 | 14,0 | 15,8 |
| L | 5,3 | 4,7 | 10,0 | 0,6 | 0,3 | 0,5 | 0,8 | -0,2 | 5,9 | 10,4 |
| NL | 10,2 | 8,1 | 18,4 | 2,1 | 0,5 | 0,4 | 0,9 | 0,0 | 4,6 | 5,4 |
| P | 8,1 | 7,6 | 15,7 | 0,5 | 1,0 | 1,4 | 2,4 | -0,3 | 12,9 | 17,8 |
| UK | 9,8 | 11,5 | 21,3 | -1,7 | 0,5 | 1,1 | 1,6 | -0,6 | 5,0 | 9,9 |
| 1995 | ||||||||||
| A | 11,0 | 6,8 | 17,8 | 4,1 | 1,2 | 1,4 | 2,6 | -0,2 | 11,0 | 20,0 |
| B | 5,8 | 6,8 | 12,6 | -1,0 | 0,2 | 0,4 | 0,6 | -0,2 | 3,7 | 6,2 |
| D | 8,5 | 7,8 | 16,3 | 0,7 | 0,6 | 1,4 | 2,0 | -0,8 | 6,9 | 17,6 |
| E | 17,0 | 12,2 | 29,3 | 4,8 | 0,5 | 0,9 | 1,4 | -0,4 | 3,0 | 7,0 |
| FIN | 14,7 | 12,2 | 26,9 | 2,6 | 0,3 | 0,0 | 0,3 | 0,2 | 1,7 | 0,4 |
| F | 11,0 | 9,2 | 20,1 | 1,8 | 0,4 | 0,7 | 1,0 | -0,3 | 3,2 | 7,4 |
| GR | 8,3 | 10,3 | 18,6 | -2,0 | 0,6 | 1,1 | 1,6 | -0,5 | 6,7 | 10,2 |
| IRL | 13,0 | 7,5 | 20,5 | 5,6 | 0,8 | 0,7 | 1,5 | 0,1 | 6,3 | 9,4 |
| I | 13,0 | 10,6 | 23,6 | 2,4 | 1,4 | 1,8 | 3,1 | -0,4 | 10,4 | 16,8 |
| L | 5,7 | 5,1 | 10,9 | 0,6 | 0,4 | 0,4 | 0,8 | -0,1 | 6,4 | 8,7 |
| NL | 9,5 | 9,2 | 18,6 | 0,3 | 0,3 | 0,6 | 0,9 | -0,4 | 2,7 | 6,7 |
| P | 8,3 | 8,7 | 17,0 | -0,4 | 0,9 | 1,7 | 2,7 | -0,8 | 11,5 | 20,1 |
| UK | 10,9 | 8,8 | 19,7 | 2,2 | 0,6 | 1,1 | 1,7 | -0,4 | 5,8 | 12,0 |
Sources: Eurostat; own calculations.
Figure 5 presents transitions from self-employment to dependent employment as a proportion of all transitions out of self-employment in nine EU Member States. Although in 1995, in five out of nine EU Member States - Belgium, Portugal, Italy, the United Kingdom and Germany - more than one in three persons leaving self-employment moved directly into a dependent employment relation, direct transitions from self-employment to dependent employment declined from 1989 to 1995 in most of the countries considered here, the exceptions being Belgium and Portugal. Most of these countries exhibited the same pattern of change over time: between 1989 and 1993, the transition to dependent employment declined as a share of total transitions, only to increase once more between 1993 and 1995, though without reaching the 1989 level. In Greece and particularly in Germany, on the other hand, a continuous decline was recorded. One striking feature is that, particularly in Germany, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom, i.e. those countries exhibiting the highest rates of growth in the number in self-employment up to 1995, transitions to dependent employment as a proportion of all exits from self-employment declined most sharply between 1989 and 1995 (cf. Figures 1 and 2).
In Portugal, transition patterns developed differently, however: in 1995, almost every second person leaving self-employment entered into a dependent employment relation. The fact that in France, Spain and Greece the transition to dependent employment consistently accounted for a relatively small proportion of exits from self-employment is largely due to the higher outflow rates into inactivity (in particular retirement). In 1989, between 55% and almost 60% of persons - including family workers - leaving self-employment entered inactivity status (OECD 1992). It was only in Portugal that a similarly high rate of transition to inactivity (62.2%) was recorded in 1989; this confirms the fundamental changes that have occurred in the area of self-employment in Portugal since 1989.
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From the point of view of employment policy, entries into self-employment can be evaluated in different ways. Studies have shown that the chances of survival of new businesses are higher in cases where the founder originates from dependent employment than where he or she had not been employed the previous year (cf. OECD 1992). On the other hand, a transition from dependent employment to self-employment, as we have already seen, does not necessarily imply an increase in the overall volume of employment. Transitions from unemployment to self-employment, on the other hand, serve to reduce unemployment, while transitions from inactivity to self-employment raise the overall participation rate.
In most EU Member States, dependent employment is the most important source status for the flows into self-employment. In 1992 and 1995, on the average for the EU as a whole, almost 60% of those entering self-employed activity had been in dependent employment the previous year; in Luxembourg, Portugal, Austria and Germany, the proportion was over two-thirds. Whereas in most EU Member States transitions out of dependent employment into self-employment as a proportion of all transitions into self-employment increased from 1989 to 1995, they declined in the Netherlands, Portugal and the United Kingdom.
In all EU Member States - with the sole exception of the Netherlands - transitions to self-employment originating from inactivity (cf. Figure 6) declined in relative terms between 1989 and 1995. In the Netherlands, the figure initially rose between 1989 and 1992 to more than 53%, subsequently declining between 1992 and 1995 to just over 46%. In Finland and Italy, inflows from inactivity were also significant, at 33% and 31% respectively in 1995. In the Netherlands, the considerable proportion of inflows into self-employment originating from inactivity is at least partially due to the labour market policy of making new business start-up support programmes available to recipients of unemployment benefits and other social benefits (Basic Information Report [BIR] Netherlands). In Italy, too, labour market policy support for business start-ups also plays an important role. Support from labour market policy programmes is focused here on new businesses set up by women and young people4, the majority of whom had not previously been in employment5. However, the considerable importance of self-employment for female employment in general in Italy - in 1995 almost 17% of economically active women were self-employed, compared with an EU average of just 9.4% (Eurostat 1995) - may have played a contributory role here. Particularly striking in terms of the inflows from unemployment (cf. Figure 6) is the very substantial rate in Finland. Almost 60% of persons entering self-employment in 1995 had been unemployed a year earlier. The very high unemployment rate in Finland6 - due not least to the collapse of trading relations with the former USSR - is likely to have had a determining influence on the patterns of transition into self-employment. In addition, the programme of support for unemployed persons setting up their own business was expanded in Finland: between 1992 and 1994 alone, funding was almost doubled to FIM 290 million (BIR Finland).
With the exceptions of Ireland and the Netherlands, between 1989 and 1995 inflows to self-employment originating from unemployment rose as a share of the total in all the EU Member States considered here. While in Greece, Luxembourg, Portugal and the United Kingdom a relatively continuous increase was recorded, in the remaining Member States for which data are available for the three observation years the same pattern of change over time was observed: in Belgium, Spain, France, Ireland, Italy and - to a lesser extent - the Netherlands, the proportion fell from 1989 to 1992, only to rise once again by 1995. It is interesting to note that in the majority of these countries unemployment was falling between 1989 and 1992. Only in Spain and France did unemployment rates rise marginally in this period. Whereas in Belgium, Ireland, Italy and the Netherlands the decline in unemployment was clearly a contributory factor to the decline in inflows from unemployment to self-employment, in Spain the cutbacks in support for business start-ups for the unemployed played a central role, as the number of beneficiaries there fell by almost one-fifth between 1990 and 1992 (cf. BIR Spain). In France, too, the increase in inflows from unemployment between 1992 and 1995 can be partly explained with reference to labour market policy programmes to support business start-ups by the unemployed, as funding for these programmes was expanded markedly in this period (cf. Table 2) and is thus likely to have led to higher demand.
Although a parallel trend between the rates of inflows from unemployment to self-employment and the unemployment rate was observed between 1989 and 1995 in only five of the 12 EU Member States - in Belgium, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg and, very loosely, in the Netherlands - economic parameters, and in particular rising unemployment, almost certainly made a not inconsiderable contribution to self-employment trends in the EU. This appears to be confirmed above all by the fact that during the observation period, in most EU Member States, fewer and fewer persons managed to find dependent employment on leaving self-employment. Moreover, the fact that in most countries the proportion of transitions to self-employment originating from unemployment was on the increase up to 1995 is almost certainly due to the lack of alternatives to unemployment, apart from self-employment, for many unemployed people. On top of this, as unemployment rose during the recent recession, many Member States expanded their programmes of support for unemployed people starting up new businesses (European Commission 1995).
The decline in the proportion of inactives entering self-employment, which was also observed in almost all EU countries, is likely to be at least partly due to cyclical reasons. It appears plausible that a deterioration in the economic situation induces some inactives to postpone or abandon altogether their decision to enter self-employment (Meager 1992). Even in the case of the rising proportion of entries into self-employment originating from dependent employment, a trend observed in the majority of EU Member States, reasons related to the labour market situation cannot be precluded. It is conceivable that the threat of unemployment stimulates transition from dependent employment to self-employment. On the other hand, a deterioration in the economic situation could deter those currently in dependent employment who in fact want to enter self-employment (Meager 1992). When interpreting the interrelationships discussed here, it must be borne in mind that the self-employed in no way constitute a homogeneous group. Consequently, the reactions of individuals to given economic conditions vary considerably.
Also of interest in employment policy terms is a comparison between labour market status prior to and after self-employment. In Germany, around four out of five self-employed persons had previously been in dependent employment in 1995, whereas only one in three of those leaving self-employed activity entered or re-entered dependent employment. In Portugal, by contrast, less than 30% of those entering self-employment had been unemployed or inactive the previous year, whereas almost half of those leaving self-employment had found regular dependent employment one year later. Ideally, therefore, transitional labour markets must be constructed in such a way that labour market policy builds solid bridges into self-employment, while at the same time offering a realistic option of returning to dependent employment.
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Labour market policy programmes to support unemployed persons setting up their own business offer some of the unemployed an alternative to unemployment. In addition, the support may generate multiplier effects if beneficiaries subsequently recruit additional labour. As early as the 1980s, in many EU Member States - with the exceptions of Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands and Austria - the unemployed were permitted to continue to draw unemployment benefits while starting up their own business (European Commission 1995). As unemployment has risen, the promotion of self-employment as an employment opportunity for the unemployed has been of increasing importance in almost all EU countries since the start of the 1990s. New programmes have been set up, and additional financing has been provided for existing programmes and/or their conditions improved7.
However, as can be seen from Table 2, business start-up programmes in the EU Member States considered here directly benefit only a very small group of persons. Correspondingly, expenditure on support for self-employment by the unemployed constitutes a very small proportion of total spending on labour market policy.
Caution must be exerted in drawing conclusions from these data. It is possible that in relative terms spending on start-up support programmes declined merely due to an increase in total public spending on labour market policy measures as a whole. In Finland, for example, public spending on support for business start-ups almost doubled between 1992 and 1994 (BIR Finland), while in Sweden spending actually trebled between 1992/1993 and 1993/1994 (BIR Sweden). The figures are not necessarily a good indicator of the importance of these programmes with respect to the number of participants, either. In Greece, for example (BIR Greece), the number of participants almost doubled between 1992 and 1994, and the number more than doubled in Germany between 1994 and 1995. Moreover, the figures in Table 2 are restricted to labour market policy support funding for the unemployed and exclude other sources of finance that are also available to other categories of persons starting up business8.
Sweden undertook the greatest efforts to expand its business start-up programmes between 1992 and 1995, recording the highest inflow rates to these programmes of all the EU countries considered here for 19959. Yet in France, Finland and Germany10, too, funding of programmes to support unemployed persons taking up a self-employed activity was expanded during this period, with a corresponding rise in the number of participants. By contrast, such programmes were cut back in Greece, Denmark and in particular Spain. It is interesting to note that in these countries, in 1992 support for business start-ups by the unemployed had accounted for a higher share of national labour market policy spending than in other countries.
The impact of such programmes on the transition flows into and out of self-employment are influenced by the nature of the programmes, and in particular by:
1. the nature of financial support: in most EU Member States, unemployed persons entering self-employment received a regular allowance in place of unemployment benefits. In France and Greece, on the other hand, support is provided in the form of a one-off grant (cf. the respective national BIRs). In Italy (cf. "Policies" No. 55/1996), an application may be submitted for a one-off payment of accumulated benefit entitlements; this was also possible in Spain until 1992 (cf. BIR Spain);
2. the participants: whereas in most EU Member States labour market policy programmes to promote new businesses are restricted to the unemployed, in the Netherlands employees threatened with unemployment may also benefit. In a number of EU countries, labour market policy target groups receive preferential treatment: for instance, in Greece (women, the long-term unemployed, disabled), in Portugal (youth, unemployed aged over 45, long-term unemployed; cf. "Policies" No. 43/1993), in Italy (women and youth) and in Belgium (youth; cf. BIR Belgium).
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| Public spending as a % | Public spending as a % | Inflow of participants | ||||
| of GDP | of total labour market | as a % of the working | ||||
| policy spending | population | |||||
| 1992 | 1995 | 1992 | 1995 | 1992 | 1995 | |
| D | - | 0,03 | - | 0,57 | 0,1 | 0,2 |
| DK | 0,11 | 0,09 | 1,65 | 1,33 | 0,2 | 0,1 |
| E | 0,14 | 0,02 | 3,84 | 0,61 | 0,3 | 0,1 |
| FIN | 0,03 | 0,04 | 0,52 | 1,55 | 0,2 | 0,3 |
| F | 0,02 | 0,04 | 0,07 | 1,29 | 0,2 | 0,3 |
| GR | 0,03 | 0,01 | 3,75 | 1,32 | 0,2 | 0,1 |
| IRL | 0,02 | 0,02 | 0,48 | 0,44 | 0,1 | 0,1 |
| P | 0,02 | 0,03 | 1,22 | 1,72 | 0,2 | 0,2 |
| S | 0,04 | 0,07 | 0,69 | 0,2 | 0,4 | |
| UK | 0,01 | 0,01 | 0,45 | 0,56 | 0,1 | - |
Notes: No data are available for Belgium, Austria, Luxembourg, the Netherlands; Ireland 1992 = 1991; Sweden and United Kingdom 1992 = 1992/93; 1995 = 1995/96.
Sources: OECD: Employment Outlook, 1995, 1996.
Under certain conditions, self-employment may constitute an alternative to unemployment. This appears to be confirmed by the increasing proportion of persons moving from unemployment to self-employment in most EU Member States. Self-employment may also establish a bridge into dependent employment. However, in recent years the proportion of those entering dependent employment among persons leaving self-employment has declined in many EU countries.
Consequently, labour market policy support for business start-ups must not ignore the possible negative consequences of a phase of self-employment for those required to abandon their dependent-employed activity (indebtedness, loss of entitlement to unemployment benefits11, etc.). For these reasons, it seems that flanking measures are required to cushion the individual risks of embarking on starting up entrepreneurial activity. This could also minimise the macroeconomic costs involved. Countries whose system of entitlement to unemployment benefits is based on the insurance principle could, for instance, permit first-time entrepreneurs to remain as voluntary members of the unemployment insurance system for a transition period (Semlinger 1995).
More detailed analysis is also required of the possible effects of support for business start-ups on the employability of participants, particularly those previously unemployed. This requires longitudinal surveys of a sufficiently long period. However, the increasing importance of self-employment as a transitional labour market can also be shown using the cross-sectional data of the European Labour Force Survey. Yet it is important to consider both the inflows into and outflows from self-employment: temporarily pumping up inflows into self-employment can, if such employment proves unsustainable, create additional problems which will emerge after two to three years. In the context of current debates on the employability of the unemployed, programmes for the unemployed starting up business are likely to become increasingly relevant, particularly if the subsequent bridge from self-employment to dependent employment is also designed in such a way as to ensure that it has sufficient carrying capacity.
Acs, Z. J., D. B. Audretsch & D. S. Evans (1992): "The Determinants of Variations." In: Self-Employment Rates Across Countries and Over Time. Discussion Paper FS IV 92-3. Berlin: Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung.
BIR = MISEP Basic Information Reports. All EU Member States, 1995. Edited by I.A.S. Berlin on behalf of the European Commission.
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Hanke, T. (1996): "Arme Unternehmer. Mehr als eine halbe Million Menschen sind Scheinselbständige - zum Vorteil des Arbeitgebers, zum Nachteil von Sozialkassen und Steuerzahlern." In: Die Zeit, 8 August 1996.
Meager, N. (1992): "Does Unemployment Lead to Self-Employment?" In: Small Business Economics, No. 4, pp. 87-103.
Meager, N. (1993): Self-Employment and Labour Market Policy in the European Community. Discussion Paper FS I 93-201. Berlin: Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung.
Meager, N. (1996): "From Unemployment to Self-Employment: Labour Market Policies for Business Start-up." In: G. Schmid, J. O'Reilly & K. Schömann (eds.): International Handbook of Labour Market Policy and Evaluation. Cheltenham, pp. 489-519.
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Schmid, G. (1993): Übergänge in die Vollbeschäftigung. Formen und Finanzierung einer zukunftsgerechten Arbeitsmarktpolitik. Discussion Paper FS I 93-208. Berlin: Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung.
Schömann, K. & T. Kruppe (1996): "The Dynamic of Employment in the European Union." In: inforMISEP "Policies", No. 55, pp. 33-43.
Schömann, K., T. Kruppe & H. Oschmiansky (1998): Beschäftigungsdynamik und Arbeitslosigkeit in der Europäischen Union. Discussion Paper FS I 98-203. Berlin: Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung.
Semlinger, K. (1995): Arbeitsmarktpolitik für Existenzgründer. Plädoyer für eine arbeitsmarktpolitische Unterstützung des Existenzgründungsgeschehens. Discussion Paper FS I 95-204. Berlin: Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung.
Vuorinen, P. (1995): "Finland: From the Crisis of the Century to a Slow Recovery with Active Labour Market Policy." In: inforMISEP "Policies", No. 51, pp. 36-39.
Wießner, F. (1998): "Positive Zwischenbilanz für 'Überbrückungsgeld-Empfänger'." In: IAB-Kurzbericht, No. 1, 19 January 1998. Nuremberg.
Wiethölter, D. & D. Bogai (1997): "Kleinere und mittlere Unternehmen, Existenzgründungen und neue Selbständige: Beschäftigungspolitische Hoffnungsträger?" In: arbeit und beruf, No. 7, pp. 225-230.
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